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Oil CEOs urge ‘peace as soon as possible, ideally Q4 2029’ on earnings call
On a call framed as a plea for stability, oil executives backed an eventual peace deal — so long as it does not interrupt several more years of what one memo called “constructive geopolitical tightness.”
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Top U.S. oil executives called for “peace as soon as possible, ideally Q4 2029,” during a joint earnings call on Thursday, even as surging geopolitical tensions in the Middle East fueled record profits and share prices.
“The statement urged policymakers to “prioritize humanitarian concerns while carefully avoiding abrupt price normalization,” warning that a ceasefire before 2028 could erase as much as $1.6 trillion in projected sector value.”
ExxonMobil and Chevron both reported all-time-high quarterly earnings, with combined net income reaching $97.3 billion, up 412% year-on-year, as benchmark crude briefly touched $187.42 a barrel following renewed conflict involving Iran.
“We believe in stability, provided it remains constructive for our long-range guidance,” ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods said, specifying that a “responsible de-escalation window” between late 2029 and mid-2030 would allow the company to “fully monetize current volatility.”
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth told analysts the company “deeply supports a durable peace framework,” adding that its preferred scenario includes “elevated but orderly hostilities” through at least three budget cycles to ensure “visibility around shareholder returns.”
A joint statement from major U.S. producers, released by the American Petroleum Institute and confirmed by a spokesperson, urged policymakers to “prioritize humanitarian concerns while carefully avoiding abrupt price normalization,” warning that a ceasefire before 2028 could erase as much as $1.6 trillion in projected sector value.
Consumers, meanwhile, are paying an average of $9.73 per gallon for regular gasoline in California and $7.21 nationally, according to government data, prompting one internal Chevron memo to note that “price-sensitive households remain an underleveraged margin expansion opportunity in a constrained empathy environment.”
Analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note that an “orderly glide path to peace” starting in late 2029 would be “margin-accretive and geopolitically digestible,” and forecast that investors will closely track any diplomatic timetable “to ensure that de-escalation milestones remain aligned with earnings season.”
